https://geco-group.org/tag/water-shortage/ water shortage Wowchemy (https://wowchemy.com)en-usWed, 26 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0200 https://geco-group.org/media/logo_hue21406914225b119becd577af1fb7f4d_583632_300x300_fit_lanczos_3.png https://geco-group.org/tag/water-shortage/ https://geco-group.org/joinus/future-water-shortages-switzerland/ Wed, 26 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0200 https://geco-group.org/joinus/future-water-shortages-switzerland/ <h2 id="context">Context</h2> <p>Useful drought projections have to go beyond analysing trends in precipitation. The timing of precipitation events, trends in temperature and incoming solar radiation, and changes in snow accumulation and snowmelt jointly determine drought impacts. These processes are especially important when considering the effects of drought on forests, grasslands, and agricultural production.</p> <p>Future water shortages arise when ecosystem water demand exceeds the water supplied by precipitation and stored in the landscape. Quantifying this imbalance is essential for anticipating where irrigation or other adaptations may be needed to maintain current productivity levels under climate change.</p> <h2 id="aim">Aim</h2> <p>This thesis will quantify future water shortages in Switzerland under the latest CH2025 climate scenarios. You will calculate the difference between water supply and ecosystem water consumption and diagnose the resulting imbalance as an estimate of the additional water required to maintain present-day productivity.</p> <h2 id="methods">Methods</h2> <p>You will set up the <a href="https://geco-bern.github.io/rsofun/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">P-model</a> at 1 km spatial resolution for all of Switzerland. The simulations will use high-resolution MeteoSwiss climate data together with remotely sensed vegetation information, including MODIS FPAR and potentially corresponding Copernicus products.</p> <p>Leaf area index will be prescribed using observations from the past 30 years. The model will simulate evapotranspiration (ET) and gross primary production (GPP) under future climate scenarios while retaining water-stress responses representative of the recent climatology. Diagnosing the simulated water balance gaps will reveal potential water shortages and provide an estimate of irrigation demand under future climates.</p> <h2 id="requirements">Requirements</h2> <ul> <li>The student is motivated to run and contribute to development of our ecosystem model and to work with large datasets of the terrestrial biosphere.</li> <li>Experience working with R or other data science tools and programming are an advantage.</li> <li>The student writes the thesis in English.</li> </ul> <h2 id="supervision">Supervision</h2> <p>Prof. Benjamin Stocker</p>